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Marchpool announces ‘Dance of the Digital Decade 2002-2011’

By Bob Barton, March 13, 2014

It’s been 13 years since the NCAA first began publicizing men’s college basketball statistics on the internet. We at Marchpool have been crunching the data for the 340+ Division 1 teams over the first 10 years of data (2002 thru 2011). We compared the 14 key basketball team metrics that are reported/stored for each D1 game on the NCAA’s website. We offer up this compilation of the 1st decade of CBB stats for you to feast on!

NUMBERS TELL A STORY. Sometimes data can be incomplete in nature, sometimes it can mislead analysts to false conclusions. With courage in our instincts and mouse in hand, we delved deeply into these numbers. We recombined NCAA stats into larger categories like dominance/resilience. Like all good CBB junkies, we searched for hidden patterns that might help us demystify dance results from previous 64+ team tournaments.

The NCAA tourney, the entropy filled March classic with its last shot daggers, bad calls, comebacks, injuries, biases and (gasp!) conspiracy theories– is the gold standard for deciding which is the best CBB team for any given season. Our analysis set out to answer another far less dramatic question; ‘What CBB team most exemplified basketball excellence on a consistent basis across an ENTIRE season?’ In other words, if a round ball novice – say, an alien - wanted to observe superior CBB play, which men’s college team(s) would have been best to watch perform– ideally from a midcourt seat?

The Marchpool Index (MPI-10) ‘invitation’ list for 2002-2011 digital dance: With our MPI-10 metric sorting out 3440+ bodies of work, we’re inviting 68 teams to our stats dance. We’ve even listed a ‘first out’ 69th team just for cruel fun! Note: Only nine of ten NCAA champions made the grade. Hey, what’s a Selection show without one outrageous omission?!? We suspect a #16 would knock out a #1 seed during this digital dance, or a future one. Talk about parity! We’re looking forward to simulating this tourney next fall.

LASTLY - If you don’t like our MPI-10 invitation list for the first digital decade, don’t feel alone! We encourage you to add facts/opinions on each of the 69 teams under its associated commentary section. Last by not least, a special thanks goes out to Jim Sukup of RPIratings.com for his contributions. As far as the rest of the CBB stats, the 3440+ teams own them; every 3 pointer, every turnover. We at Marchpool are simply reporting THEIR results. We invite you to PLAY MARCHPOOL.COM with us (sign-up now!), and encourage you to follow us through our blog/twitter.

LET THE DANCE BEGIN :-)

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Dance of the Digital Decade 2002-2011

Click on team for details. All columns listed are sortable from 1 (best) to 68 (worse)

Note: These 68 represent the best teams out of 3400+ (Grades are relative to Field of 68)
Proposed Simulation tourney(s) will include important end-of-year metrics this study omits

RPI Paint Shooting Offense Poise Defense Ballcontrol Dominance Resilience MPI10
TeamConferenceYear Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Rank+/- Dance Result
Illinois Big Ten 2004/05 1 A+ 62 D+ 12 A- 3 A+ 7 44 C+ 1 A+ 2 A+ 1 A+ 1 A+ Runner Up
Kansas Big 12 2009/10 2 A+ 6 32 B- 20 B+ 24 5 32 B- 1 A+ 5 2 A+ Round of 32
Ohio State Big Ten 2010/11 11 A- 59 C- 25 14 B+ 27 57 C- 2 A+ 6 3 A+ 3 A+ Round of 16
Duke Atlantic Coast 2009/10 12 A- 40 C+ 34 B- 22 3 A+ 35 B- 33 B- 8 2 A+ 4 A+ Nat’l Champ
N. Carolina Atlantic Coast 2008/09 3 A+ 9 A- 8 9 A- 1 A+ 51 19 B+ 3 A+ 9 A- 5 Nat’l Champ
Kansas Big 12 2007/08 24 7 26 33 B- 33 B- 2 A+ 22 9 A- 6 6 Nat’l Champ
Maryland Atlantic Coast 2001/02 13 B+ 25 20 B+ 32 B- 10 A- 21 13 B+ 7 8 7 Nat’l Champ
Duke Atlantic Coast 2010/11 25 49 14 B+ 6 8 19 B+ 35 B- 10 A- 11 A- 8 Round of 16
Duke Atlantic Coast 2003/04 4 A+ 37 C+ 21 17 B+ 6 7 63 D+ 4 A+ 19 B+ 9 A- Round of 4
Oklahoma Big 12 2001/02 18 B+ 42 C+ 53 C- 45 5 14 B+ 36 B- 19 B+ 4 A+ 10 A- Round of 4
Ohio State Big Ten 2006/07 5 35 B- 58 C- 46 23 15 B+ 21 14 B+ 13 B+ 11 A- Runner Up
Florida Southeastern 2005/06 32 B- 32 B- 6 7 14 B+ 10 A- 48 15 B+ 14 B+ 12 A- Nat’l Champ
Kentucky Southeastern 2002/03 6 16 B+ 50 55 C- 22 17 B+ 40 C+ 20 B+ 10 A- 13 B+ Round of 8
Florida Southeastern 2006/07 19 B+ 14 B+ 37 C+ 25 44 C+ 23 52 12 A- 24 14 B+ Nat’l Champ
Pittsburgh American Athletic 2008/09 15 B+ 31 B- 63 D+ 56 C- 54 C- 43 C+ 11 A- 21 15 B+ 15 B+ Round of 8
Kansas Big 12 2010/11 7 34 B- 46 36 B- 53 C- 16 B+ 46 5 33 B- 16 B+ Round of 8
Oklahoma St. Big 12 2003/04 33 B- 44 C+ 29 B- 48 47 24 27 23 16 B+ 17 B+ Round of 4
Memphis Conference USA 2007/08 14 B+ 11 A- 68 D 65 D+ 64 D+ 4 A+ 10 A- 16 B+ 26 18 B+ Runner Up
Oklahoma St. Big 12 2004/05 34 B- 64 D+ 1 A+ 1 A+ 9 A- 68 D 30 B- 37 C+ 7 19 B+ Round of 16
N. Carolina Atlantic Coast 2006/07 26 17 B+ 44 C+ 49 26 34 B- 28 32 B- 22 20 B+ Round of 8
BYU Mountain West 2010/11 43 C+ 53 C- 40 C+ 18 B+ 17 B+ 49 18 B+ 27 28 21 Round of 16
UCLA Pacific 12 2007/08 35 B- 24 48 63 D+ 18 B+ 18 B+ 39 C+ 43 C+ 12 A- 22 Round of 4
Louisville Conference USA 2004/05 50 41 C+ 19 B+ 4 A+ 35 B- 12 A- 51 24 32 B- 23 Round of 4
Texas Big 12 2005/06 49 12 A- 36 B- 31 B- 38 C+ 6 53 C- 26 29 B- 24 Round of 8
San Diego St. Mountain West 2010/11 20 B+ 20 B+ 64 D+ 64 D+ 42 C+ 20 B+ 38 C+ 40 C+ 21 25 Round of 16
Xavier Atlantic Ten 2007/08 46 54 C- 10 A- 15 B+ 21 60 C- 31 B- 39 C+ 23 26 Round of 16
Connecticut American Athletic 2008/09 36 B- 3 A+ 45 60 C- 57 C- 31 B- 17 B+ 38 C+ 25 27 Round of 8
Duke Atlantic Coast 2008/09 21 46 51 39 C+ 15 B+ 52 50 35 B- 30 B- 28 Round of 16
Cincinnati Conference USA 2001/02 37 C+ 28 41 C+ 47 25 50 57 C- 48 18 B+ 29 B- Round of 32
Marquette Conference USA 2002/03 42 C+ 52 3 A+ 21 13 B+ 67 D 23 47 20 B+ 30 B- Round of 4
Connecticut American Athletic 2003/04 16 B+ 1 A+ 62 D+ 53 C- 65 D+ 33 B- 24 22 48 31 B- Nat’l Champ
N. Carolina Atlantic Coast 2007/08 8 19 B+ 16 B+ 40 C+ 4 A+ 59 C- 60 C- 36 B- 36 B- 32 B- Round of 4
Notre Dame American Athletic 2010/11 51 50 30 B- 16 B+ 45 66 D 3 A+ 45 27 33 B- Round of 32
St. Joseph's Atlantic Ten 2003/04 27 68 D 27 10 A- 30 B- 11 A- 6 17 B+ 57 C- 34 B- Round of 8
N. Carolina Atlantic Coast 2004/05 17 B+ 38 C+ 9 A- 5 11 A- 41 C+ 68 D 11 A- 64 D+ 35 B- Nat’l Champ
Kentucky Southeastern 2010/11 38 C+ 26 38 C+ 29 B- 43 C+ 36 B- 55 C- 31 B- 45 36 B- Round of 4
Memphis Conference USA 2008/09 47 10 A- 66 D 68 D 55 C- 1 A+ 37 C+ 42 C+ 37 C+ 37 C+ Round of 16
Kansas Big 12 2001/02 9 A- 4 A+ 11 A- 23 12 A- 30 B- 65 D+ 13 B+ 67 D 38 C+ Round of 4
Arizona Pacific 12 2002/03 39 C+ 29 B- 59 C- 41 C+ 34 B- 37 C+ 44 C+ 29 B- 52 39 C+ Round of 8
Baylor Big 12 2009/10 44 C+ 8 13 B+ 13 B+ 29 B- 25 67 D 28 54 C- 40 C+ Round of 8
Connecticut American Athletic 2005/06 28 2 A+ 42 C+ 51 31 B- 38 C+ 54 C- 44 C+ 38 C+ 41 C+ Round of 8
Cincinnati Conference USA 2003/04 52 23 61 D+ 42 C+ 66 D 13 B+ 12 A- 33 B- 51 42 C+ Round of 32
West Virginia American Athletic 2009/10 31 B- 39 C+ 67 D 66 D 37 C+ 61 D+ 14 B+ 68 D 17 B+ 43 C+ Round of 4
Duke Atlantic Coast 2005/06 10 A- 65 D+ 5 2 A+ 2 A+ 32 B- 56 C- 18 B+ 68 D 44 C+ Round of 16
Illinois Big Ten 2001/02 54 C- 45 22 24 39 C+ 53 C- 42 C+ 46 43 C+ 45 Round of 16
Texas A&M Big 12 2006/07 63 D+ 55 C- 15 B+ 34 B- 58 C- 39 C+ 7 51 40 C+ 46 Round of 16
Kentucky Southeastern 2003/04 22 51 54 C- 52 40 C+ 26 59 C- 41 C+ 49 47 Round of 32
Kansas Big 12 2002/03 29 B- 13 B+ 56 C- 62 D+ 63 D+ 8 47 25 65 D+ 48 Runner Up
Michigan St. Big Ten 2004/05 61 D+ 61 D+ 24 28 36 B- 64 D+ 26 61 D+ 35 B- 49 Round of 4
Duke Atlantic Coast 2001/02 30 B- 66 D 49 26 46 56 C- 29 B- 30 B- 66 D 50 Round of 16
Drake Missouri Valley 2007/08 57 C- 67 D 47 35 B- 28 62 D+ 25 62 D+ 34 B- 51 Field of 64
Illinois Big Ten 2002/03 64 D+ 63 D+ 33 B- 30 B- 56 C- 46 9 A- 53 C- 44 C+ 52 Round of 32
Stanford Pacific 12 2003/04 60 C- 21 18 B+ 43 C+ 32 B- 29 B- 43 C+ 58 C- 39 C+ 53 C- Round of 32
Connecticut American Athletic 2010/11 41 C+ 18 B+ 65 D+ 67 D 16 B+ 22 58 C- 67 D 31 B- 54 C- Nat’l Champ
Kansas Big 12 2006/07 53 C- 5 57 C- 57 C- 68 D 3 A+ 45 34 B- 63 D+ 55 C- Round of 8
Gonzaga West Coast 2003/04 65 D+ 36 B- 2 A+ 12 A- 49 58 C- 16 B+ 54 C- 46 56 C- Round of 32
Boston College American Athletic 2004/05 55 C- 43 C+ 31 B- 61 D+ 52 45 20 B+ 64 D+ 41 C+ 57 C- Round of 32
Villanova American Athletic 2008/09 45 57 C- 35 B- 38 C+ 20 B+ 54 C- 61 D+ 50 55 C- 58 C- Round of 4
Pittsburgh American Athletic 2010/11 58 C- 56 C- 52 54 C- 67 D 63 D+ 8 65 D+ 42 C+ 59 C- Round of 32
Oklahoma Big 12 2002/03 23 48 60 C- 59 C- 50 42 C+ 41 C+ 52 58 C- 60 C- Round of 8
Kansas Big 12 2008/09 56 C- 22 23 37 C+ 48 28 66 D 49 61 D+ 61 D+ Round of 16
Georgetown American Athletic 2006/07 40 C+ 15 B+ 39 C+ 58 C- 41 C+ 40 C+ 49 56 C- 56 C- 62 D+ Round of 4
Davidson Southern 2007/08 67 D 60 C- 43 C+ 27 60 C- 47 5 59 C- 53 C- 63 D+ Round of 8
Michigan St. Big Ten 2007/08 59 C- 30 B- 7 50 51 55 C- 34 B- 66 D 47 64 D+ Round of 16
Purdue Big Ten 2010/11 62 D+ 58 C- 55 C- 44 C+ 59 C- 48 4 A+ 63 D+ 50 65 D+ Round of 32
Arizona Pacific 12 2004/05 48 47 4 A+ 8 19 B+ 65 D+ 64 D+ 55 C- 60 C- 66 D Round of 8
Gonzaga West Coast 2008/09 68 D 33 B- 17 B+ 11 A- 62 D+ 9 A- 15 B+ 60 C- 59 C- 67 D Round of 16
Florida Southeastern 2004/05 66 D 27 28 19 B+ 61 D+ 27 62 D+ 57 C- 62 D+ 68 D Round of 32

WAIT…HOLD ON …IT APPEARS THE COMMITTEE IS ADDING ‘CUSE 02/03 to the digital dance! It appears that National Champions must receive an automatic bid to the decade dance. Its pretty clear that if Melo and company played the way they did in the first half of the title game against runner-up Kansas, they would spank most every top team on this list outta of the decade dance! Unlike some Selection Sunday Shows of the not-to-distant past, it looks like ‘The Orange’ will not get hosed out of this tourney.  Sign up for Marchpool.com’s Twitter and Facebook sites to receive information about the upcoming Decade Simulation tourney. And yes, we will include important ‘end of the year’ momentum stats data along with the 14 point MPI-10 metric as part of the tourney algorithm. Maybe we’ll end up with that elusive Duke-Carolina Final game, who knows?

NEXT MARCHPOOL DIGITAL DECADE DANCE will include the 2012 team class (UK) and the 2013 class (Louisville), available in March 2015. We hope you will PLAY MARCHPOOL 2014 and keep in touch throughout the tourney via our Monday blogs – this March and into the future as well. Good luck to your team in this March - Cheers!

Disclosure: This ranking system is/was strictly about ‘body of work’ across an entire season. It does not claim to represent ‘the best overall team’. A well thought out decade tournament simulation just might be capable of settling that argument – stay tuned!

 

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